Diplomacy with Delhi – The news
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
Marvi Memon
In 1938 Chamberlain had two choices: to reduce potential enemies by appeasing their grievances or augment Britain’s strength by forming alliances with other states. He chose the former and the rest is history. Churchill also had some choices. He chose to fight for his country’s honour: “I have nothing to offer but blood, toil, tears and sweat.” “We shall defend, whatever the cost may be, we shall never surrender.”
The right balance of wisdom and courage barometers in present-day leadership drives nations to failure or success. War is not always defined as physical movement of troops. There are levels of war or belligerence. Air incursions inside Pakistan, blocking Pakistan’s waters, attacks using state agency inside Balochistan and FATA by India, also constitute a level of belligerence which cannot be ignored.
Pakistan needs a dignified response strategy to the international isolation resultant from the weak diplomacy of the current government and the efficient diplomacy by India. That does not mean declaration of war between two nuclear nation states. It simply means a diplomatic response strategy at the international level to fight Pakistan’s case which currently simply doesn’t exist. By calling heads of states pleading for mercy doesn’t quite cut it, nor has it truly helped.
What you say on the phone and through your diplomatic track 1 track 2 does matter. If it was all that great a conversation between our leadership and our international ‘friends’ we would have seen a different attitude from India. Instead the belligerence factory is producing mega products. On the other hand in Pakistan’s parliament it seems Indian state and intelligentsia campaign has been blocked from the ears of the many experienced leaders speaking on the issue; because if even five per cent of it was reaching them the debate quality would be different. The realization would be there that belligerence needs a response other than appeasement or infighting on non-issues.
Right now the country needs parliament to lead government out of this mess. The people of Pakistan might have lost faith in the government’s ability to lead on this front due to their many confused statements or suspect loyalties, but parliament needs to rise to the occasion. PML leadership has on numerous occasions indicated ways of implementing a dignified policy. It’s time it was heard by the government. What follows is an attempt to guide government so that we win as a state.
The first track of the ‘diplomatic initiative strategy’ or DIS is ‘composite dialogue awareness campaign’. This simply means that Pakistan’s stated position on each composite dialogue whether core issue of Kashmir, terrorism, Siachen, Sir Creek, Baghliar etc, should all be well explained to a core group of international countries through a diplomatic offensive. This issue should be taken up by a ‘dispute resolution group’ (DRG) formed under the leadership of UN secretary general. India’s unreasonable stance should be well explained to the same DRG. Only then will these countries assist in resolving these issues as neutral arbitrators. The reason this track is so critical is because these are the root-cause issues behind Pak-India bilateral trust issues. If there is some headway made through international help it will reduce tensions. By India taking a stance of no progress on composite dialogue is too easy a way to bully Pakistan which we must not accept. Parallel to this DRG at UN should be a similar DRG at SCO level. Instead of organizations like SAARC which are passé organizations like SCO need to be utilized for resolving core disputes.
The second track of DIS is the ‘Indian propaganda inversion campaign’. All accusations launched by India against Pakistan need to be tracked by some ‘intelligent’ government officials, and tables need to be turned on India. If India can claim that terror is being spread through Pakistan’s policies of marginalization, will some responsibly senior parliamentarian from government please give a similar response based on Indian policies of exclusion. Statements from opposition ‘hard liners’ don’t carry same weight as government statements. Since government has been given a tranquilizer dose by major powers’ resident advisors it is loosing initiative time whilst India is gaining the same. Pakistan needs to also tell India that all options are open if India fails to deliver on reigning in its terror groups.
India needs to be taken to task for its non responsive strategy on protecting Muslims after Mumbai orchestrated anger. Yes! the anger is well planned through a deliberate pre-planned state and intelligentsia campaign. If government is willing to ignore that it’s orchestrated and deliberate then opposition is not naively irresponsible to accept the same.
The third track of DIS is the “forcible reversal of Indian regional destabilization.’ The UN and US need to reverse India’s efforts of destabilizing Pakistan and the region. It needs to be asked to pull back troops and extra consulates from Afghanistan. It needs to be asked why it needs air bases in Laddakh. It needs to be asked how it is justifying blocking of Chenab waters. It needs to be asked how it is not banning organizations like Shiv Sena which are creating Hindu suicide squads. It needs to be asked how it is changing the military balance of the region through defence procurement groups. It needs to be asked why it has deployed nuke enabled jets in IHK. It needs to be asked how it is getting away with human rights violations and unnamed graves in IHK. Why it is falsely accusing Pakistan of LOC violations.
The list is long but reversals are urgently required through international pressure.
The fourth track of DIS is the ‘terror accountability strategy’. India needs to be questioned for its state and non state involvement in the hundreds of suicide bombs in Pakistan especially in Balochistan and FATA. Pakistan’s innocent lives need to be mourned and not pushed to back burner due to Mumbai blasts. Pakistani lives are precious and its time the world understands that not only have we paid a price in blood but that we wish accountability for far more damage than what has been caused in Mumbai blast.
The fifth track of DIS is the relations with US which as explained earlier have to be built on a basis of respect for Pakistan’s sovereignty. The US has to respect and not violate the National Security Resolution passed by a sovereign parliament. US intelligentsia has to be responded to when it launches reports that undermine civilian-military relations, or wants Pakistan’s nukes sold off or when it identifies Pakistan as the weak link in world security. The US long term role needs redefinition since in its current format it is unacceptable to patriots and only acceptable to pawns. The US needs to announce an exit strategy for Afghanistan and not an increased troop strategy as recommended by their think tanks. US aid which is siphoned off by their own experts and consultants needs to be redeployed more effectively. US needs to urgently send an envoy on Kashmir and impose the same on India rather than accept India’s non cooperative attitude. And finally the US needs to get India to reciprocate terror elimination from its soil before expecting the same from Pakistan.
Finally the sixth track of DIS is the ‘economic tsunami recovery plan’. The IMF report accepts that Pakistan’s state of affairs in 2007 were very encouraging and on an upward trajectory. The reason given for the downward plunge in 2008 is the current government’s inaction and lack of decision making. It is now urgent for government leaders to bring their assets back to Pakistan and lead by example. Only then will overseas Pakistanis develop a credibility and do the same. Fiscal discipline rather than financial wrongdoings is the need of the day. Only then will the “Friends of Pakistan” be encouraged to assist.
All of these tracks form part of the diplomatic initiative strategy which is the only bold, dignified and sincere strategy the government should have launched day one of Mumbai blast. Sincere leadership makes or breaks a country in crisis by its action not words. If the leadership doesn’t rise to the occasion its popularity will plummet and then the people will decide its fate.